W4414440124 Working papers AI × management and organizations

Machine Predictions and Causal Explanations: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Xi Kang · Hyunjin Kim

Also recorded as: INSEAD Working Paper 2026/27/STR · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5520499 · ssrn:5520499

ssrn abstract page · 2025-09-23

Recorded claims
1
coded from the inspected source
Evidence classes
1
ssrn-abstract-page
Recorded limitations
2
stated, never hidden

From the hash-bound evidence releases

Recorded claims

Each claim states what the inspected source says, at the recorded location—bounded by its scope and graded by its confidence. Nothing here is a synthesis across works.

In a six-month randomized field experiment at one investment-research firm, mutual-fund analysts received predictions from a proprietary machine-learning system; the abstract reports that predictions could improve decisions while worsening causal explanations, especially among less-experienced analysts.

confidence: moderate ssrn-abstract-page apw-e1-ssrn-backfill

Scope: Universe: mutual-fund analysts at one investment-research firm; unit: analyst decision and explanation; period: six months, exact dates not displayed; denominator and allocation counts: not displayed; no numerical effect is asserted.

Structured relationships

In-corpus citations

Only source-supplied cites relationships whose two endpoints are admitted are shown. Invocation evidence remains a separate relationship.

Cites (0)

No in-corpus outgoing citation is available in the current enrichment coverage.

Cited by (0)

No in-corpus incoming citation is available in the current enrichment coverage.

Boundaries

Limitations & independence

Recorded at coding time, carried with the work forever. A claim without its limits is not evidence.

Recorded limitations

  • Abstract-level evidence only; full text was not inspected.
  • The total sample, condition counts, decision count, outcome definitions, effect magnitudes, and uncertainty are not displayed; one firm and occupation limit generalization.

Source independence

ssrn-only