From the wave-0 evidence ledger
Recorded claims
Each claim states what the inspected source says, at the recorded location—bounded by its scope and graded by its confidence. Nothing here is a synthesis across works.
Providing startups with concrete examples of how peer firms reorganized production around AI increased reported AI use cases by 44%, AI-supported tasks by 12%, the probability of acquiring a paying customer by 18%, and revenue by a reported factor of 1.9 during the study window.
Scope: 515 high-growth accelerator startups over a short post-treatment window; not mature-firm or long-run evidence.
The intervention reduced reported capital demand by 39.5% while leaving labor demand statistically unchanged, which is inconsistent with treating near-term AI production reconfiguration as mechanically equivalent to headcount substitution in this setting.
Scope: Startup accelerator participants; demand intentions/near-term behavior, not economy-wide labor effects.
Boundaries
Limitations & independence
Recorded at coding time, carried with the work forever. A claim without its limits is not evidence.
Recorded limitations
- 515 high-growth startups in one accelerator context
- Approximately three-month horizon
- Revenue distribution is skewed and durability is untested
- Working paper
Source independence
Academic field experiment in a startup accelerator; intervention and outcomes are researcher-reported.